The chances of you seeing a white Christmas in any given year depend on where you live, obviously, and the weather patterns that come by that year. This year, for example, the chances of a white Christmas here in southern Maine don’t seem that high, given that the grass is green in my family front yard and there doens’t seem to be much snow in the forecast.
But what are the odds in any given year? NOAA Climate shared a pretty fascinating graphic showing the odds of at least one inch of snow on the ground at weather stations across the United States on December 25, based on the U.S. Climate Normals between 1991 and 2020.
It doens’t seem like that surprising of a graphic, to be honest. The further north you are, the higher chances of a white Christmas. The higher altitude, the higher chances. But it is pretty fascinating to look at. What I would love to see is a comparison between say 1991 and 2005 and 2006 and 2020, or something similar, to see how the odds have changed over time (my guess is the odds have dropped nation wide).
You can view a full interactive map, with each weather station noted (including Alaska) here.