Another Tricky Snow Forecast in the Northeast

Another Tricky Snow Forecast in the Northeast

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Another Tricky Snow Forecast in the Northeast

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The forecast worked out over the past week with Stowe reporting 2-4 inches from the systems that moved through on Thursday and Friday.  There have been no significant storms in weeks though, and only a couple this year.  The 131 inches for the season total has come mostly in 1-4 inch amounts.  We have had several potential storms but the big ones have been snow changing to rain and then back to snow at the end for a few inches.  We will see if we can get one to work this week.

Currently we have a weak system pushing through for Tuesday night and falling apart as it does so.  There could be 2-4 inches for the Adirondacks in New York and an inch or two on the mountains of Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine by Wednesday morning.

The next storm moves in Wednesday night into Thursday.  This one has little bit more moisture but not a ton.  The track of the storm is still questionable as it could move through the Southern half of New England or right across VT & NH.  The Southern 3rd of NH & ME could see some rain mix in but Central and Northern areas should see mostly snow on the mountains. Here is the GFS snowfall forecast through Thursday showing 2-4 inches possible on most of the mountains by Thursday with a little dot of 3-6 near Mt. Washington.

The interesting storm arrives Friday and lasts into Saturday.  The trick to this storm like so many this season will be the track.  The European forecast model has a strong storm winding up as it moves right up the Applachians into Canada.  That would draw up warm air and make it mostly a rain event with wrap around snow showers at the end.  Here is the rain snow line forecast for Friday night from the Euro, Green vs Blue.

The GFS forecast model wants to track the storm across Southern New England and out to sea.  That would keep the cold air in place and bring a decent snow event to all areas.  Here is the rain snow line on the GFS for Friday night.

A look at the storm on the Canadian forecast model.

Here is a look at the GFS snowfall forecast through Saturday showing 4-8 inches additional possible with totals in the 6-12 inch range for the 4 day period.  If the European storm track were to verify these amounts would be less with the rain scenario.

For next week there is the possibility of another light snow event Monday night into Tuesday and another for Thursday.  BA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

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