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NOAA: Winter Weather Forecast / Outlook For 2018 -2019

Snow clearing efforts in Mount Rainier National Park | Photo:

NOAA has released their winter weather forecast / prediction / outlook for winter 2018 – 2019. Unlike the Old Farmers Almanac, which uses a “top secret mathematical and astronomical formula”, the scientist at NOAA use global weather patterns as well as the development of El Nino or La Nina conditions to make their seasonal forecasts.

For the 2018 – 2019 winter, NOAA is predicting about 70% chance of El Niño conditions to develop during the the 2018-2019 winter.

ENSO-neutral is favored through Northern Hemisphere summer 2018, with the chance for El Niño increasing to about 65% during fall, and to about 70% during winter 2018-19. – NOAA

According to NOAA, the 2018 -2019 winter will kick-off with below average to equal chance of precipitation for the Pacific Northwest as well as the Northern Rockies and New England. Colorado and the Southern Rockies should see above average precipitation to start the winter season. Temperatures are forecasted to be above average across the United States.

Winter Weather Prediction For
October / November / December

Precipitation Probability

 

Temperature Probability 

As you move deeper into the winter season the weather forecast from NOAA changes. For the months of January, February and March NOAA is calling for below average to equal chance of precipitation form most of the western ski resort as well as the northeast. Temperatures are also forecasted to be above normal.

Winter Weather Prediction For
January / February / March 

Precipitation Probability

 

Temperature Probability 

We will continue to bring you all the latest weather forecasts and outlooks for the 2018 -2019 winter season. This will include the Farmers Almanac and Old Farmers Almanac winter predictions.

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