Over the next year, the sun will be reaching the climax of it’s 11-Year Solar Cycle. The “Solar Max” will bring with it an increase in the frequency of Northern & Southern Lights. Here is a breakdown of what its all about and where to witness such an event.
aurorahunter.com
The sun has a heartbeat. Every eleven years or so it beats, and it beats hard. This is known as the solar cycle and is measured by the number of sunspots visible on the sun. The more sunspots, the more solar flare energy is being released into space (which means more aurora activity!).
Historical View of the sun spots
For 400 years, from the time of Galileo until now, we have been keeping track of the number of these sunspots and, as the trends show in these two graphs, this cycle is predictable.
Q: Where are we now on the solar cycle?
A: On the rise! After three long years of “deep solar minimum” sunspot activity is finally increasing. This is the early stages of Solar Cycle 24 in which “Solar Max” is predicted for around the years 2013-2014. This means we should experience an increasing amount of aurora activity in the next few years. Keep one eye on the sky!
Best Months?
Aurora Borealis season in northern polar latitudes (Alaska, northern Canada, Greenland, Iceland, Norway, Sweden, Finland and Siberia) runs from August-thru-April. These are the nights with darkness in them. During the summer months of May, June and July it is just too bright to see them in the far northland. Auroras can still be spotted south of about 50° latitude during the summer.
Statistically, the equinox months of September and March are best for aurora activity. The winter months of October-thru-February are also good (there is definitely no shortage of darkness!).
Mythbuster: Contrary to popular belief, it does not have to be cold to see the aurora, just dark and clear….and clear skies usually mean it’s cold, hence the association between auroras and chilly nights.
28-Day Prediction Technique
What Time of Night?
The peak hours are between 11pm and 2am, however, anytime it’s dark there is hope. I’ve seen the northern lights as early as 8pm and as late as 8am.
Real-Time
Listed below are some websites of organizations that monitor the sun, measure the solar wind in real-time (now), and make aurora predictions. In the explosive event that a coronal mass ejection (CME) is reported it’s time to hop into action because this super-charged solar wind is traveling fast (maybe 3-to-5 million miles per hour). When this energy sweeps by the earth 1-to-3 nights later there is a very good chance of aurora activity. It pays to stay tuned in.