Here is the latest report from Direct Weather.
In today’s video, we delve into the current and upcoming temperature patterns, closely examining the contrast between the two. We’re also on the brink of a significant snowstorm, which has seen a surprising shift southward according to recent model updates—a development we definitely need to explore. Following this system, a lingering cold pattern seems poised to introduce further snowstorm possibilities, which we’ll discuss in detail.
As we review the forecast for the next 24 hours, our focus is on the distinct difference between surface air temperatures and those just above. This distinction helps in crafting a more accurate forecast, particularly over the ocean where surface temperatures heavily influence air temperatures immediately above. While surface readings give a moderated view with slight deviations from normal, upper air patterns reveal a more extreme variance in temperatures, highlighting the troughs and ridges more distinctly. This is crucial for identifying colder and warmer air masses and predicting storm pathways.
Currently, we’re observing an intensely warm air mass over Eastern North America and a starkly cold one in the West, indicative of a negative Pacific North American (PNA) pattern. This setup drives warm air from Mexico and the Pacific northward into the eastern states, while colder Arctic air is pushed southward due to a negative Arctic Oscillation, spreading colder temperatures more widely towards the equator.
Looking ahead, we’re tracking a potential snowstorm starting on Sunday, with models predicting a low-pressure system over Eastern Texas. This could bring snow to parts of New Mexico, Texas, and Oklahoma, and as it moves northward, snowfall extends into Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, and Ohio, with thunderstorms in the Southeast. By Tuesday, the system shifts offshore of New Jersey, potentially bringing heavy snow to Pennsylvania, Northern New Jersey, New York, and Southern New England.
However, model predictions diverge significantly, creating uncertainty in the storm’s impact and location. The European model forecasts the storm hitting more of the Mid-Atlantic and New England, while the GFS model suggests a more southern trajectory, impacting areas further south than initially anticipated. This discrepancy highlights the challenge in forecasting this event, emphasizing the dynamic nature of weather prediction.
As we continue monitoring, another nor’easter is on the horizon, promising more snow for New England. The pattern ahead suggests a prolonged period of cold air, with further minor snowstorms expected. Despite the uncertainty, the anticipation of a significant snowstorm remains, underscoring the importance of staying updated with the latest forecasts.
In summary, we’re looking at an intricate weather pattern characterized by a major upcoming snowstorm, a shift towards colder conditions, and the potential for additional snow events. As we analyze the European and GFS models, it’s clear that precise predictions are challenging, but preparation and awareness are key. Stay tuned for daily updates as we navigate through these evolving weather conditions, ensuring you’re well-informed every step of the way.