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Rain in the Cascades is just now changing over to snow at most base areas (Dense snow on top) with a trend towards slightly lower snow levels tonight and Sunday. Moderate moisture will move back in tonight and Sunday with a good 2-5 inches at the bases, 7-10 mid mountain and perhaps slightly more at the peaks (Medium density). The Sunday event is going to favor southern Washington and especially Oregon where a direct hit is expected near Mount Hood (Deep snow). Areas south of Seattle will see the most snow for Sunday morning. Central and northern Idaho will also do well through Sunday. Light snow will pick up over the Tetons (Leftovers) Sunday.
The models are back in line with an original track that we broad-casted early last week with a quick hitting cold storm for the Sierra Sunday night and Monday (4-8 strong winds- lift issues likely), moderate moisture streaming into the Wasatch through Tuesday (Storm totals in the 9-14 inch range) and a direct hit over Colorado Monday night through early Wednesday morning. Some models are taking a slower progression in Colorado so Tuesday and Wednesday could end up being powder days. The models show several solutions in Colorado. The consensus is that the 4 corners will see moderate to heavy snow at the highest peaks Monday PM through Tuesday AM (9-14). Wolf Creek is closing this weekend! Silverton might pick up decent amounts as well as Monarch and Aspen. The wild card will be the northern mountains on Tuesday/Wednesday? My guess is that areas In northern Summit County will see moderate to possibly heavy snowfall on Tuesday (Increasing late AM) through 10PM. The cold front lines up just north of I-70 so areas from Winter Park to Steamboat could also do well. Some models still show heaviest moisture near the Wyoming border by noon Tuesday. Wednesday will see lingering light snow near the Divide and north towards Eldora. A strong cold front will be accompanying this storm so densities will start out high in the San Juan’s and turn lighter as you get further north towards the Front Range. My confidence for a decent powder day in many areas is increasing. The exact track and chase spots is still a bit far out. I am 90% confident in the San Juan’s and Uinta’s (CO/UT border). The chase might include the San Juan’s on Tuesday AM and further north by afternoon if possible? You might need a HELI to accomplish.
The Wasatch in Utah as stated above will do well over the Sunday night through Wednesday period. Expect heavier amounts towards the central part of the State but respectable amounts up north (Several 3-7 inch days in a row). Heaviest snowfall might come on Monday (Densities will be lowering).
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Powderchaser Steve