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The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), has reported that there is a better than 50 percent chance that El Niño conditions will develop sometime between July and September. However, most forecasters believe that if  a El Niño event does occur it is more likely to be on the weak-to-moderate end of the spectrum.

Tony Barnston, chief forecaster for the International Research Institute for Climate and Society, says that “The southern tier of U.S. states tends to have above-normal precipitation during winter when there is an El Niño. So this would be helpful for the droughts currently lingering in Texas/New Mexico, and Georgia/Alabama,” he said in an email conversation. “It would not help the ones in Kentucky/Indiana though, and could cause a new one in the northern Rockies.” climatecentral.org

Screen Shot 2012 07 11 at 12.57.02 PM 620x388

For what this all means check out La Niña, El Niño, Does It Make Any Difference

17 Comments

  1. +7 Vote -1 Vote +1Awesome
    says:

    This is what I think when NOAA tells me something like this:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pjvQFtlNQ-M

    60% of the time, it works everytime.

    Reply
  2. -2 Vote -1 Vote +1keep it coming
    says:

    well there goes the season ……

    Reply
  3. +2 Vote -1 Vote +1D
    says:

    finally some SW weather love!!! Bring on the dumpage, PNW zip it, you always get snow and will prob do just fine in el nino. jackson will get 350+ too…all is fair.

    Reply
  4. +2 Vote -1 Vote +1MyFibulaHurts
    says:

    Being from the pnw i know one thing for fact: it will rain in the lowlands.

    Reply
  5. +1 Vote -1 Vote +1Bri
    says:

    bring on the Nino

    Reply
  6. +1 Vote -1 Vote +1Graham
    says:

    im glad i live in telluride

    Reply
  7. Vote -1 Vote +1Bigger Sky
    says:

    moving from Flagstaff to Bozeman. >:(

    Reply
  8. +2 Vote -1 Vote +1shredzgnar
    says:

    Hood will still dump 600 inches like almost every year. So Im never worried just coming down from Tline now and theres plenty of coverage I dont doubt youll be able to ride from top to lodge till early to mid aug. Thats over 2 miles of terrain from 8540 to 6000ft

    Reply
  9. Vote -1 Vote +1bandini78
    says:

    50/50 chance, real bold prediction

    Reply
  10. Vote -1 Vote +1Dave
    says:

    Im never listening to a long range forecast again

    Reply
  11. Vote -1 Vote +1SeaQueue
    says:

    Well…if any of the PNW skiers like myself on here remember the winter of 2004/05, then this could be a very scary scenario…

    Reply

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