OpenSnow: West Coast Winter Weather Outlook For 2016-2017

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OpenSnow: West Coast Winter Weather Outlook For 2016-2017

Weather

OpenSnow: West Coast Winter Weather Outlook For 2016-2017

5222467360_1bca859208_oWith pictures of newly fallen snow creeping into our Facebook feeds, meteorologists are starting to churn out winter outlooks by the dozen.

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However, of all the snow-centric meteorologists out there, you’d be hard pressed to find a more trusted source than OpenSnow‘s Bryan Allegretto. Allegretto, who typically gives forecasts for the Tahoe area, has recently released his 2016-2017 winter weather outlook for the west coast, saying that Tahoe should receive somewhere between 85-92% of its average annual snowfall.

“I think 85-92% of average snowfall [for Tahoe] this upcoming season is a good starting point. What happens with the warm blob and where the ridge sits near the West Coast this Winter will also be a factor to watch.” – Bryan Allegretto, Open Snow

The big uncertainty in BA’s forecast is NOAA’s 40-45% chance of La Niña affecting North America this upcoming season. Instead, he believes that a neutral state will likely give us winter conditions similar to the 2013/2014 and 2014/2015 seasons. As far as La Niña goes, he currently believes that the phenomena won’t affect North America till the 2017-2018 winter.

Typical precipitation during a weak La Nina year

Typical precipitation during a weak La Nina year | Image courtesy of NOAA

OpenSnow’s West Coast Forecast

  • Slightly below average snowfall in Tahoe
  • Big precipitation for Mt. Baker Ski Area + Mt. Hood
  • Dryer than normal winter for NorCal
  • 85-92% of Tahoe’s average annual snowfall

Find the entire outlook here: ENSO, PDO, QBO, and Snowfall…

And make sure you get your OpenSnow All-Access Pass before the season starts. 

 

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