Map showing a Winter weather prediction for 2014

Map showing a Winter weather prediction for 2014

2014 Winter Weather Prediction | Old Farmers Almanac

 Here is a look at a winter weather prediction from weatheradvance.com.

Looking At The Pattern- The Pattern since late winter, (February & March) up until now has favored occasional warm spells but also average to bellow average cool spells in terms of temperature. Pattern seems to favor several spells of cool weather, will have to see if this pattern continues. Also if you have been following the posts on weatheradvance.com you can tell that we have had a number of systems ride up the coast, whether it be post tropical systems (Andrea) or just systems that developed. They have moved up the coast in a favorable track for snow. Last time we saw this pattern develop this early (winter of 2009-2010). (*NOT calling for anything close to winter of 2009-2010*)

I have related this summer, and this upcoming hurricane season to the 2005 year. However I do not see the winter of 2013-2014 being quite like that year. It started off colder than average in December and then turned into an all out torch. That year also happened to be a la nina year. But why isnt this the best analog then? Well consider that, during the prior winter, there was a weak to moderate el nino in place. This year, we are going from a neutral phase to a possible weak la nina. Now Typically during weak la nina years it favors more snow in the Eastern half of the nation. I will use Washington d.c as an example. (Bellow) Washington D.C typically has about 15″ of snow a year. During a weak la nina year though it usually is above average snowfall wise. This theme typically repeats itself up and into the northeast and in the Midwest.

Weather Map \ Image - Farmers Almanac

So what do i think will happen this winter with all of this in mind? Well It will be colder than average in the Eastern half of the United States, With the exception of January where I believe we will see a mild January thaw in the east, However no where near the state that we had the 2005-2006 winter. Winter Will get off to an early start in the east, picking up where it left off this past winter late in the year. Fizzle away as we head into January and then come back on near the Mid-Point in February, where I think the brunt of the winter will be. The winter battle zone will be a tricky one though. Right now it extends along the coast in the northeast, southeast of the Big cities, into north and south Carolina, northern Georgia, Tennessee and including Oklahoma. However even a slight change in the weather pattern can cause that area to be shifted north and west and you may be in the area again this year of the slop storms, or just plain rain.

small_DCA_La_Nina_snowfall

I do believe it will be a wetter than average year in the east, and perhaps even in the pacific northwest. Only may you will be provided with today is the projected temperature maps and snowfall departure from normal maps. Any questions on the winter outlook, please leave them bellow and I will try to answer them.

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55 Comments

  1. MtHoodwinked says:

    Meteorology is no place for someone with ‘bellow’ average intelligence.

    Reply
    • TC says:

      Nor is meteorology a place for someone who uses a cringe-worthy freehand Illustrator skills to produce a mapping product.

      Reply
    • Connie the Proofreader says:

      First of all, go back to school and learn how to spell “BELOW” before predicting the weather.

      Reply
    • Maky says:

      I thought it was my English as a second language deficit kicking the “bellow” into my brain until I realized and convinced myself that the genius who wrote this report is the illiterate…. Below bellow beelow…. Smh!

      Reply
    • Anonymous says:

      What do you think the weather will be like in Philadelphia, Pa in mid March especially, March 15-17, 2014

      Reply
      • Rocco46 says:

        WC Field once said, “I spent a month in Philadelphia one weekend”. The other one is that on his tombstone is written, “Better here than Philadalphia”. The second one isn’t factual.

        Reply
  2. Dan says:

    Bellow? Really?

    Reply
  3. Wade says:

    What does Bellow Average mean for the southern states?

    Reply
    • Geriatric Skier Gurl says:

      “Snowfall Departures From Normal” according to the graphic.

      This reminds me of that old Prairie Home Companion quote, paraphrased, “where the men are handsome, the women beautiful, and the children are all above average…. ” So in the South, the ski bums are not handsome, the ski slopes are not beautiful, the entire winter sports season is Bellow Average, and the snowflakes are departing from Normal’s airport quite often, in search of a better place to land on either coast. Where they won’t melt.

      Reply
    • Anonymous says:

      Not cool! Most southerners are very hospitable and pleasant people. If you see that as an issue with intelligence then you have truly missed it!

      Reply
    • Rocco46 says:

      It refers to IQ. Just kidding. :-)

      Reply
  4. JPow18 says:

    What timeframe do you expect the Utah Rockies to see the brunt of their snowfall?

    Reply
  5. Steve says:

    Sounds like Georgia’s winter will go off! Any insight as to the winters where people may actually go ski?

    Reply
  6. Stan says:

    Haven’t we learned by now none of this means shit.

    Reply
  7. Jones says:

    East Coast rules!

    Reply
    • Todd in JH says:

      Until you move out here. Jackson sucks, tell your friends. ColoRADo is awesome!!!

      Reply
      • Anonymous says:

        I agree Jackson sucks. Go to CO or California. Less lift lines and people there are so friendly. Montana and Utah don’t get snow. If you are from the east coast go to CO and California. You will love it!

        Reply
  8. Qrex says:

    Lol, in yer dreams East Coast!

    Reply
  9. Coon says:

    Id rather die a slow painful death than ski any of the areas in the purple.

    Reply
  10. derp says:

    Is there even a single sentence in this article that uses proper spelling and grammar?

    Reply
  11. Jeffro says:

    Hey Cooner, sliding down a mountain anywhere is fun. Grab a clue!

    Reply
  12. Can't have 3 years in a row now Tahoe says:

    Winter Battle Zone sounds like a good time!

    Reply
  13. buzznut says:

    Nashoba gonna kill it this year. Way above average?!?! We are looking at 4 – 5 feet this winter. Break out the snorkels and line up for first chair, mates!

    Reply
  14. Greg says:

    so i read this article trying to figure out WTF this guy is getting at… and at the end i’m like: http://www.freesound.org/people/Cartoonguy11/sounds/56312/

    Reply
  15. Sheesh says:

    Oh dear. Where, oh where was the spell (or punctuation, or grammar) check??

    Reply
  16. Anonymous says:

    Hatehatehatehate

    Reply
  17. Atlantaski says:

    Hey Steve,

    There are a few places in N E GA where descents can be made (Sky Valley- closed ski area). There are also some golf courses in N GA that could be fun as well.

    Reply
  18. AC says:

    You can always play it by ear and get on the wagon or plane to get to the snow. The search for snow … Follow our blog this winter! We are always on the hunt for snow. Sometime you just have to call in for a snow day and go … :) http://www.skihaussports.com/read-the-blog/

    Reply
  19. on those cold and wintry conditions, skiing and snow play days, get a pair of arctix snow pants under $40.00. Build to last season after season

    Reply
  20. Anonymous says:

    Sorry, not trying to be mean but its driving me crazy. “Below” is spelled with one “L”. Otherwise I like your site, but it honestly has effect on credibility when there are spelling issues.

    Reply
  21. Betty Jo Roberts says:

    What will the weather be like in eastern Kentucky,And east Tenn. how much snow should we expect.How cold will it be. Please tell me their will be plenty of sunshine.

    Reply
  22. Betty Jo Roberts says:

    What will the weather be like, in Eastern Kentucky,East Tenn. how much snow should we expect, how cold.Please tell me we will see plenty of sun. Thank you.

    Reply
  23. Deb says:

    Why are people so rude….this person is just trying to be helpful!

    Reply
  24. Joey Briggs says:

    How much snow could Rhode Island get this Winter and then in the February storm?

    Reply
  25. Cutiger says:

    Why do people have to be so mean. It was just a typo!

    Reply
  26. sherry says:

    What kind of weather for California? For winter

    Reply
  27. eb says:

    2-7-14 well looks like michigan should have been included in the “much above average” category. most snow ever since record keeping began 140 years ago.

    Reply
  28. ihabib says:

    Hi!
    I live in Norolk, VA and am currently considering driving to go to a conference in St. Louis, MO on April 10 lasting till April 12. For the return trip I would like to come back via Nashville, TN.
    What I am trying to determine is will the winter weather and specially ice and snow possibilities be gone from these regions by then? Can you help with this information?

    Reply
  29. Rocco46 says:

    Mexico weather forcast: Chili today but hot tamale. Also wher I live, dark tonight followed by widely scattered light in the morning.

    Reply

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